Donald Trump has won the election and seeing him win is quite a shocking thing for a lot of people. Even now that it has been more than half a month since the announcement of the result, people are still wondering how it even happened.
The pollsters and election pundits are still sitting in shock trying to find an explanation for the surprising turn of events. However, if you look closely, you will see some very obvious signs that will answer to anyone who is asking how did Donald Trump win the election?
Trump’s die-hard supporters
The biggest play in Trump’s campaign was the way he brought together supporters in the Midwest area of the country. However, what really surprised everyone was the way he suddenly gathered huge support in the central eastern states including Pennsylvania and Ohio. The same high support was also seen in the north-midwest which came as an equal surprise.
The chart below shows the overall final vote share for Trump and shows how did Donald Trump win the election? You can also see a detailed analysis of the vote share here as well.
While the question, how did Donald Trump win the election is asked in multiple ways on different platforms, this is probably the biggest one. While the democratic opponent of Trump seemed to actually have a lead in the popularity vote, the situation changed at a very critical time.
Right in the end days before the election, an FBI investigation was launched against Clinton which proved to be a very important factor in her campaign. The doubt this investigation created in the minds of voters was all that Trump needed to steer public support his way.
Popular vote vs Electoral College
This is probably the most interesting factor of all when discussing how did Donald Trump win the election? To secure the most powerful seat in the world, the candidates have to win at least 270 votes in the Electoral College. While this may seem to be a generally fair practice, it seems to be off when compared with the population count of the United States.
In the final count, Hillary Clinton was in the lead as compared to Donald Trump by a massive 230,000 votes. However, the Republican candidate was able to secure more votes in the Electoral College vote by surpassing the required number of 270 and securing his place in the White House.
Following Trump’s win, the anti-Trump forces actually attacked the Electoral College and seemed to be gaining quite some traction. Details regarding this can be seen here.
Role of swing states
With the way the election system is built in the United States, some of the states have a lot of electoral power in the election and are usually referred to as swing states.
If you are wondering how did Donald Trump win the election then you must go through the results of these states. There are five states that are crucial to the way election results turn out in the United States. These include Florida, Arizona, Ohio, North Carolina, and Virginia.
During the popular vote, the results showed division formed on the basis of demographic lines. All the men and the white population, in general, chose Trump and women and ethnic minorities seemed to have a clear preference for Clinton.
This is also the main reason pollsters seemed sure that Clinton would win and were found confused and questioning themselves how did Donald Trump win the election. The answer to this question is quite simple; the women and ethnic minorities didn’t back Clinton as much as was expected.
The huge void of third party votes
This particular factor would probably not have had any standing in determining how did Donald Trump win the election. However, considering how large a number of people went for third party candidates in this election, it just can’t be ignored. The total number of people who went for third party candidates was a whopping six million. That is three times more than the number from the last election held in 2012.
With statistics like this, it becomes quite easy to understand what happened and the question, how did Donald Trump win the election becomes rather easy to answer. With that said, it is definitely true that this was one of the most surprising election results that the United States has had in a long time.